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Insights

Total U.S. Debt Soars - Craig Hemke (July 14, 2020)

By Craig Hemke 1 days ago 9486 Views 1 comment

There was a time when the total U.S. fiscal deficit and debt seemed to matter. Apparently, that time has passed.

Oh, my goodness. The good old days. I'm old enough to remember 2009 and all the rage about "exploding deficits" and "stealing our children's future". Heck, I even flew a Gadsden Flag for a while and attended a "Tea Party" rally near my home.

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A Staggering Number of Businesses Are Set to Collapse as COVID-19 Continues to Accelerate - Nathan McDonald (July 10, 2020)

By Nathan McDonald 5 days ago 3827 Views No comments

Despite the chaos of the world around us, despite spiking COVID-19 cases, and despite a record number of businesses shuttering their doors (many never to re-open again), markets remain relatively healthy.

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“Fun Friday” as Excitement Hits Precious Metals Market - Weekly Wrap Up (July 10, 2020)

By Craig Hemke 6 days ago 81417 Views No comments

Legendary investor Eric Sprott discusses the precious metals markets and answers listener questions regarding a few specific mining company shares.

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Higher Highs and Lows Ahead in Precious Metals and Miners - David Brady (July 9, 2020)

By David Brady 7 days ago 8292 Views 1 comment

Sentiment is one of the best contrarian indicators there is, but it is just one of the tools that I follow as part of my data-driven process. That said, it works extremely well in the precious metals and miners space, because people who invest there—like those who follow Bitcoin—are extremely passionate about their positions for reasons that transcend just potential gains or losses.

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Real Rates Drive Gold Higher - Craig Hemke (July 7, 2020)

By Craig Hemke 8 days ago 78403 Views No comments

For as long as I can remember, I've stated that negative nominal and negative real interest rates are the key, primary driver for higher gold prices. And now we're seeing this play out in real time.

First of all, what is the "real" interest rate? Simply put, it's the nominal or stated rate of a bond minus the inflation rate. Here's a definition from Investopedia:

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Gold Reaches Highest Price Since 2012 - Paul Wong (July 6, 2020)​

By Paul Wong 10 days ago 1394 Views No comments

Gold bullion1 continued to deliver strong performance and was up 17.38% YTD through June 30, 2020, and 26.36% YOY. At the same time, gold mining equities (SGDM)2 have gained 25.88% YTD, and 44.00% YOY as of June 30. This compares to -3.08% YTD and 7.51% YOY returns for the S&P 500 TR Index.6 Silver posted substantial gains in June and is on the move again; silver is up 1.99% YTD and 18.88% YOY as of June 30.

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Production Down Significantly: Massive Silver Shortage Coming in the Near Future? - Nathan McDonald (July 3, 2020)

By Nathan McDonald 13 days ago 7471 Views No comments

The overall market cap of the silver sector is incredibly small when compared to other segments of the economy, and is thus susceptible to wild swings, manipulation and disruptions. This has always been the case; however, the remainder of 2020 may starkly highlight these problems.

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Extreme Sentiment In A Quiet Week Risks Trouble - David Brady (July 3, 2020)

By David Brady 13 days ago 11310 Views No comments

FUNDAMENTAL BACKDROP

Short-Term Risks

  • Fed is tapering its liquidity injections and the balance sheet is actually falling.
  • Trade war between China and the US is escalating.
  • Risk of a Wave 2 of COVID-19 and renewed lockdowns, crashing the economy and stocks too in the short-term.
  • Bankruptcies accelerate across all sectors.

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“Things Have Changed” in Precious Metals: Lessons From a Volatile Week​ - Weekly Wrap Up (July 2, 2020)​

By Craig Hemke 14 days ago 75757 Views No comments

Eric Sprott discusses a volatile week in precious metals and looks ahead to an interesting month of July.

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Extreme COMEX Delivery Demand Continues - Craig Hemke (June 30, 2020)

By Craig Hemke 15 days ago 129100 Views 3 comments

Demand for physical delivery through the COMEX futures market continues, and this has significant implications for the future of the current fractional reserve and digital derivative pricing scheme.

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The Debt Bomb is Detonating: A Wave of Defaults is Coming - Nathan McDonald (June 26, 2020)

By Nathan McDonald 20 days ago 15654 Views 1 comment

Typically, the last bill people stop paying when they are overcome by debt is their mortgage and rent. Well, if that is the case, then Americans just rang the alarm bell, because things are about to get messy.

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Thinking About Buying Gold? Stop Thinking and Get in the Game - Weekly Wrap Up (June 26, 2020)

By Craig Hemke 20 days ago 54146 Views 1 comment

Eric Sprott discusses the precious metals markets and the mining shares.

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Clouds Gather for Oil, Stocks, and Gold in the Short-Term - David Brady (June 26, 2020)

By David Brady 20 days ago 32195 Views No comments

Beginning with the fundamental backdrop, we’re seeing an increasing number of headlines and States signaling a resurgence of COVID-19, or “Wave 2”, and talk of renewed lockdowns. This comes on the heels of the Fed’s taper of liquidity, which I discussed last week. This spells disaster for the economy and a double whammy for stocks.

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Gold & Silver Begin The Move To New All-Time Highs - Chris Vermeulen (June 24, 2020)

By Chris Vermeulen 22 days ago 4943 Views No comments

We warned about this move many months ago and just 6 days ago we issued a research post suggesting Gold had cleared major resistance and would start a rally mode to push above $2000 – possibly above $2100. Well, guess what happened right after we made that statement? Yup – Gold started to rally higher and is currently trading near $1790 – about to break $1800 for the first time in 2020.

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Waiting on COMEX Silver - Craig Hemke (June 23, 2020)

By Craig Hemke 22 days ago 72814 Views No comments

With COMEX gold getting very near new 2020 highs, concern is growing that COMEX silver is not coming along for the ride. Let's give it a few days and then check back.

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