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Posts tagged 'David Brady'

Higher Highs and Lows Ahead in Precious Metals and Miners - David Brady (July 9, 2020)

By David Brady 5 days ago 7831 Views No comments

Sentiment is one of the best contrarian indicators there is, but it is just one of the tools that I follow as part of my data-driven process. That said, it works extremely well in the precious metals and miners space, because people who invest there—like those who follow Bitcoin—are extremely passionate about their positions for reasons that transcend just potential gains or losses.

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Extreme Sentiment In A Quiet Week Risks Trouble - David Brady (July 3, 2020)

By David Brady 11 days ago 11244 Views No comments

FUNDAMENTAL BACKDROP

Short-Term Risks

  • Fed is tapering its liquidity injections and the balance sheet is actually falling.
  • Trade war between China and the US is escalating.
  • Risk of a Wave 2 of COVID-19 and renewed lockdowns, crashing the economy and stocks too in the short-term.
  • Bankruptcies accelerate across all sectors.

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Clouds Gather for Oil, Stocks, and Gold in the Short-Term - David Brady (June 26, 2020)

By David Brady 18 days ago 32037 Views No comments

Beginning with the fundamental backdrop, we’re seeing an increasing number of headlines and States signaling a resurgence of COVID-19, or “Wave 2”, and talk of renewed lockdowns. This comes on the heels of the Fed’s taper of liquidity, which I discussed last week. This spells disaster for the economy and a double whammy for stocks.

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When the Fed Reopens the Floodgates of Liquidity, Gold and Silver will Soar - David Brady (June 19, 2020)

By David Brady 25 days ago 11842 Views No comments

The Fed has now tapered liquidity injections to $80 billion per month in U.S. treasury bonds compared to rapidly rising government deficits and debt and the massive increase in the supply of bonds as a result.

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Fed Tapers Liquidity, Raising the Risk of Further Downside - David Brady (June 11, 2020)

By David Brady 1 month ago 8662 Views No comments

The latest economic information is driven by the following: 1. The surprising increase in non-farm payrolls, which drove stocks and bond yields higher. I believe this is at best temporary given the ongoing destruction of the mainstream economy. The euphoria that followed will likely be short-lived.

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Consolidation Continues in Gold & Silver Prior to Next Rally - David Brady (June 4, 2020)

By David Brady 1 month ago 8010 Views No comments

Precious metals and miners continue to go sideways-to-down for now. This makes sense after strong rallies in each, and it facilitates a reset of the overbought and bullish conditions to enable the next rally to new highs.

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Still Risk of Further Downside in Precious Metals and Miners - David Brady (May 29, 2020)

By David Brady 2 months ago 9027 Views 1 comment

No major changes in premiums in the past week from either a dollar or percentage basis relative to the paper spot price. Inventory levels in coins remain unchanged, and bars of 10 oz. or greater still remain virtually non-existent. Silver premiums remain significantly higher than those for Gold.

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Healthy Reversal in Precious Metals and Miners Under Way - David Brady (May 21, 2020)

By David Brady 2 months ago 46019 Views No comments

We are seeing premiums continue to fall, not due to a decline in physical prices but the rise in paper prices. Inventory levels in coins have improved slightly, but bars of 10 oz. or greater remain virtually non-existent. Silver premiums remain significantly higher than those for Gold.

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Falling Real Yields Will Signal Record Highs for Gold Ahead - David Brady (May 14, 2020)

By David Brady 2 months ago 11937 Views No comments

First a quick update on the Physical Metal situation. The good news is that there is still product available to buy, there is more inventory coming back online, and premiums over the paper price are falling. The bad news is that the improvement in supply levels is largely confined to the coins; cheaper bars >10 oz. remain relatively non-existent.

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​Are Gold and Especially Silver About to Explode Higher? - David Brady (May 08, 2020)

By David Brady 2 months ago 22308 Views 1 comment

The Perth Mint is churning out Gold and Silver coins at a rapid pace, and we’re seeing that ease some of the supply issues. Their Kangaroos in both metals are amongst the lowest priced 1 oz. coins out there, with purities of 0.9999%. That said, premiums remain very high, which suggests that although supply has improved slightly, demand remains high.

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The Prospects for Physical Gold and Silver Have Never Been Better - David Brady (April 30, 2020)

By David Brady 3 months ago 11956 Views No comments

My primary method of trading and investing is based almost exclusively on applying the Mosaic Theory. In simple terms, this means taking seemingly disparate pieces of information, connecting the dots, and forming a cogent hypothesis for what’s ahead. In fact, I use this approach in almost everything I do. It’s like throwing mud at a wall and seeing what sticks. It may mean more work in terms of research, but ultimately the payoff is well worth the effort.


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Global Stimulus on Steroids Means Higher Gold and Silver Prices - David Brady (April 9, 2020)

By David Brady 3 months ago 11500 Views No comments

It seems like there isn’t a day that goes by without more stimulus from either the Fed or the government. The Fed’s balance sheet is spiking higher to new record levels, with no signs of stopping any time soon.

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Paper Prices Dump, but Premiums for the Physical Metals Soar on Heavy Demand - David Brady (19/03/2020)

By David Brady 4 months ago 72071 Views No comments

The authorities are responding in predictable fashion, the only way they know how: with massive fiscal and monetary stimulus. It has only just begun.

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Global Monetary and Fiscal Authorities Are About to Open the Floodgates of Liquidity - David Brady (13/03/2020)

By Leigh Bowden 4 months ago 10223 Views No comments

Several quick observations here. First, it is clear that the metals and miners have been tracking stocks lately. Both are waiting for the Fed and the U.S. Treasury to announce a combination of substantial monetary and fiscal stimulus. Basically, helicopter money.

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Metals and Miners Just Waiting for the Fed to Unleash QE on Steroids - David Brady (05/03/2020)

By David Brady, CFA 4 months ago 36931 Views No comments

Again, a dump in stocks could weigh on metals and miners in the short-term.

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