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Buy the Dips | Gold and Silver Analysis

Buy the Dips

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Initially aided by weaker-than-expected payrolls and both the CPI and PPI following suit, Silver and crypto miners led the way higher as the DXY slid below 100. The DXY may also be plagued by reports out of China and Russia that they will be launching a Gold-pegged BRICS currency on August 22, and this would be a direct attack on the hegemony of the dollar. However you slice it, a statement was made that certainly suggests the bottom is in for both monetary metals and miners. But nothing goes up in a straight line, and this appears to be a classic case of “too far, too fast”. Moreover, what if nothing happens on August 22? My point is there will be dips along the way in this volatile market. Let me stress this: I don’t recommend shorting to take advantage of those pullbacks, but I do plan to buy those dips. Keep an eye on the DXY.



The DXY is undergoing a classic A-B-C correction from its peak at 114 and has now broken below 100. It is extreme oversold on the RSI, but the MACD Line in blue allows for much further downside. My target for the low is ~92. Bounces aside in the DXY, this signals a massive rally in metals and miners ahead.


SILVER Price Chart

Silver blasted through resistance and now only the peak of 26.23 on May 4 is in the way of a test of 30 next. Although the RSI is approaching overbought levels, the MACD Line in magenta says there is plenty of room to go higher. The weekly RSI is at 58, which also supports further gains to come. Support is now at 24.30-40, former resistance.


GOLD Price Chart

Gold is the laggard. It appears to be capped around 1965 right now. It needs to get back above 2000 to set the stage for an assault on the record high to follow. Support remains at 1900.


GDX Chart

Only three waves up so far, which is corrective. GDX still needs to close the gap to 32.50. Once above there, the prior highs around ~36 are a magnet. However, should it fall back below 30, which is highly unlikely at this time, then a lower low is back on the table. The MACD Line in magenta says different: it says we’re going much higher.



SILJ has broken the prior double top of 10.23. It has also broken the 200-Day Moving Average. But the RSI and the MACD Histogram are extreme overbought, which suggests a short-term pullback. The fact that we have only three waves up off the low at ~9 also signals a fourth wave reversal before higher again. Saving the best for last, the MACD Line in blue is only looking up, short-term pullbacks aside.


While the metals and miners have spiked higher, aided by the dump in the dollar, they appear to be ready for at least a short-term reversal. Should we get any pullbacks, I will be buying those dips, especially if we take out 2000 in Gold. My stops are below 1890 in Gold.

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About the Author

David Brady has worked for major banks and corporate multinationals in Europe and the U.S. He has close to thirty years of experience managing multi-billion dollar portfolios including foreign currency, cash, bonds, equities, and commodities. David is also a CFA charter holder since 2004.

Using his extensive experience, he developed his own process utilizing multiple tools such as fundamental analysis, inter-market analysis, positioning, Elliott Wave Theory, sentiment, classical technical analysis, and trends. This approach has improved his forecasting capability, especially when they all point in the same direction.

His track record in forecasting Gold and Silver prices since has made him one of the top analysts in the precious metals sector, widely followed on Twitter and a regular contributor to the Sprott Money Blog.

*The author is not affiliated with, endorsed or sponsored by Sprott Money Ltd. The views and opinions expressed in this material are those of the author or guest speaker, are subject to change and may not necessarily reflect the opinions of Sprott Money Ltd. Sprott Money does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, timeliness and reliability of the information or any results from its use.


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