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Countdown to Launch Delayed

September 21, 2023

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The Fed did nothing today except to say that they foresee one more rate hike before the end of the year and that’s it. The Fed also forecast rate cuts later in 2024. While this weighed on the dollar and yields, this was supportive of gold and silver prices before and after the announcement. But my mantra is “Never trust the first move!” when it comes to the FOMC:

Precious Metals Market Reaction

The markets didn’t disappoint…

All of the losses in the DXY since Sept 14 were erased, and then some. The gains in both gold and silver were virtually wiped out at the end of the day. This despite relatively positive news for precious metals and miners. Interest rate hikes are done, or we have just one more to come, then cuts to look forward to.

Key Takeaways for Precious Metals

What does this mean for gold and silver going forward? Nothing has changed from my perspective. The risk remains that we see 106 in DXY before it heads south, and a higher or lower low in both metals next, signaling the final bottom. My preferred target remains 22-21 in silver. As long as gold remains above 1900, I’m focused solely on the massive upside ahead.

Today’s peaks at 1968 in gold and 23.88 in silver are now the new resistance levels to focus on. Once we take those out, the probability that we test the highs at 2089 in gold and 30 in silver next go up dramatically. It’s not a matter of if, but when, IMHO.

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About the Author

David Brady has worked for major banks and corporate multinationals in Europe and the U.S. He has close to thirty years of experience managing multi-billion dollar portfolios including foreign currency, cash, bonds, equities, and commodities. David is also a CFA charter holder since 2004.

Using his extensive experience, he developed his own process utilizing multiple tools such as fundamental analysis, inter-market analysis, positioning, Elliott Wave Theory, sentiment, classical technical analysis, and trends. This approach has improved his forecasting capability, especially when they all point in the same direction.

His track record in forecasting Gold and Silver prices since has made him one of the top analysts in the precious metals sector, widely followed on Twitter and a regular contributor to the Sprott Money Blog.

*The author is not affiliated with, endorsed or sponsored by Sprott Money Ltd. The views and opinions expressed in this material are those of the author or guest speaker, are subject to change and may not necessarily reflect the opinions of Sprott Money Ltd. Sprott Money does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, timeliness and reliability of the information or any results from its use.